Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
N. Alvarez Varona vs M. Arnaldi
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ESP
w
l
l
l
w
l
w
w
w
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
24
Age
24
6'2" (188 cm)
Height
-
342
C. Rank
63
219
Best Rank
30
0
Total Titles
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$29.7K
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
1
Win
2
Played
1
Win
24
Age
24
6'2" (188 cm)
Height
-
342
C. Rank
63
219
Best Rank
30
0
Total Titles
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$29.7K
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Head-to-head: Varona 1 - 1 Arnaldi
They have played 4 sets in total, with Nicolas Alvarez Varona winning 2 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 2. The last match between Matteo Arnaldi and Nicolas Alvarez Varona was at the Tenerife 2 Challenger, 04-02-2023, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-4.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Varona | 1 |
| Arnaldi | 1 |
Last 2 H2H Matches:
(SF) Tenerife 2 Challenger(02-04-23)
Matteo Arnaldi
6
6
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
3
4
(R1) M15 Getafe Madrid(10-15-19)
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
7
6
Matteo Arnaldi
5
3
N. A. Varona vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $29,685 | Career Prize Money | $2,532,865 |
| 56.86% (232-176) | Career Total W/L | 59.90% (239-160) |
| 1 | Hard | 1 |
| 4 | Titles | 6 |
| 1 | Total H2H Matches | 1 |
| 0% (0-0) | YTD Win/Loss | 45.45% (20-24) |
N. A. Varona vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won 46.04% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.14%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Nicolas Alvarez Varona, in recent form, has won 47.47% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.30%. The same stats for first serve returns are 26.74% and 25.11% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Nicolas Alvarez Varona has saved 57.94% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.71% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won 56.90% of matches played (W/L 33/25), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Nicolas Alvarez Varona has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 61% (W/L 94/60), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 46% (W/L 11/13). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 61% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
- Player level: In the last year, Nicolas Alvarez Varona has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 53.19% of matches (W/L 25/22), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Nicolas Alvarez Varona winning 1 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 1 times. They have played 4 sets in total, with Nicolas Alvarez Varona winning 2 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 2.
- The last match between Nicolas Alvarez Varona and Matteo Arnaldi was at the Tenerife 2 Challenger, 04-02-2023, Round: SF, Surface: Hard, with Matteo Arnaldi getting the victory 6-3 6-4.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:31:32.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Nicolas Alvarez Varona has played against opponents with an average rank of 367.31 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.08.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Nicolas Alvarez Varona has won 35% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Nicolas Alvarez Varona has converted 35.82% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.17% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
N. A. Varona vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | H2H Matches Won | 1 |
| 2 | Sets Won | 2 |
| 20 | Games Won | 20 |
| 6 | Aces (Total) | 11 |
| 6 | Total Double Faults | 9 |
| 1:31:32 | Average Match Time | 1:31:32 |
| 63% (74/118) | 1st Serve % | 55% (79/143) |
| 73% (54/74) | 1st Serve Win % | 78% (62/79) |
| 45% (20/44) | 2nd Serve Win % | 39% (25/64) |
| 31% (5/16) | Break Pts Won % | 40% (4/10) |
| 39% (56/143) | Return Points Win % | 37% (44/118) |
| 50% (1/2) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 50% (1/2) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Varona 48%, Arnaldi 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Varona 51%, Arnaldi 47%.
Break Points Saved %: Varona 63%, Arnaldi 65%.
N. A. Varona Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 M25 Sabadell - 22-09-2025 | ||||
SF Lorenzo GiustinoL. Giustino | L | 4-3 ret. | ||
QF Pedro Vives MarcosP. Vives | W | 6-3 2-6 6-0 | ||
R2  John SperleJ. Sperle | W | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1  Buvaysar GadamauriB. Gadamauri | W | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Targu Mures 2 Challenger - 15-09-2025 | ||||
R2  Gabi Adrian BoitanG. Adrian | L | 6-7(2) 6-3 6-4 | ||
M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
Q1  Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R2 Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1  Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Q3  Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
Q1  Jesper De JongJ. De | W | 6-4 7-6(5) | ||
N. A. Varona vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 56.86% (232/176) | YTD Win/Loss | 59.90% (239/160) |
| 56.06% (527/413) | Sets Win/Loss | 57.91% (560/407) |
| 52.61% (4661/4199) | Games Win/Loss | 52.58% (4842/4366) |
| 61.04% (94/60) | Hard Win/Loss | 60.71% (85/55) |
| 55.22% (127/103) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.35% (132/70) |
| 45.83% (11/13) | Indoor Hard W/L | 38.30% (18/29) |
| 0% (0/0) | Grass Win/Loss | 40.00% (4/6) |
| 0.32 | Aces Per Game | 0.36 |
| 1402 | Aces Total | 1621 |
| 0.23 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 1000 | Total Double Faults | 1126 |
| 1:33:46 | Average Match Time | 1:45:46 |
| 453.59 | Average Opponent Rank | 301.4 |
| 63% (15732/25047) | 1st Serve % | 59% (16488/28035) |
| 69% (10838/15732) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (11281/16488) |
| 48% (4461/9315) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5794/11542) |
| 44% (1109/2549) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1155/2712) |
| 40% (10113/24985) | Return Points Win % | 40% (10868/27336) |
| 0% (0/0) | Slam W/L | 56.25% (18/14) |
| 0.00% (0/1) | Masters W/L | 54.39% (31/26) |
| 0% (0/0) | Cups W/L | 80.00% (4/1) |
| 58.33% (7/5) | Main Tour W/L | 48.57% (34/36) |
| 46.37% (83/96) | Challenger W/L | 59.84% (73/49) |
| 65.74% (142/74) | Futures W/L | 70.27% (78/33) |
| 59% (228/388) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 61% (223/367) |
| 0% (0/7) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 43% (12/28) |
| 47% (61/129) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (76/131) |
| 53% (70/131) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (68/133) |
| 83% (232/192) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (242/200) |
| 16% (232/37) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (242/42) |
| 22% (175/38) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (156/37) |
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